The two-mile contest is often run at a furious gallop, and it has often paid to sit in behind any frontrunner in recent years.
Appreciate It, Shishkin, Klassical Dream and Summerville Boy have all come from off the pace to win in the past three renewals.
Leading trainer, Willie Mullins has a fantastic record in the race and has taken the coveted prize back across the Irish Sea on no fewer than seven occasions.
Statistics show that horses need to have run at least twice so far this season and no winner in the last twenty renewals has won with any headgear (cheekpieces, visor or tongue-tie).
Previous Winners of the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle
Runners To Watch
Below are selected runners who hold entries for The Supreme Novices’ Hurdle 2022.
Karl Hedley provides some recent form notes to help point you in the right direction of identifying the winner.
CONSTITUTION HILL – NICKY HENDERSON
Has won his two previous starts in good style. The most recent of which was the Grade 1 Tolworth at Sandown.
His two performances this season have come with plenty of give underfoot, so if conditions are similar here, he could have a say in the outcome.
Nicky Henderson has run previous Tolworth hurdlers here in this race and is 0/5 which is a massive negative.
The form has also taken some serious knocks with Jetoile, Mr Glass and Shallwehaveonemore all being beaten since. He looks a false favourite at this stage and is beatable.
DYSART DYNAMO – WILLIE MULLINS
Dysart Dynamo was in command of the field when making all in a Grade 2 race at Punchestown back in December and scoring by some nineteen lengths.
The form has been boosted in a modest fashion following a subsequent win for The Little Yank.
He certainly is enthusiastic with his jumping and looks as though he will stay further. The big question is if he lines up here or in the Ballymore.
Former stable-mate Douvan also won at Punchestown prior to coming here. Obvious claims.
JONBON – NICKY HENDERSON
Jonbon has never been beaten and comes here without a blemish on his record. He has only ever won at flat tracks though which is the only slight concern.
He must prove conclusively that he will stay on up this hill, although no reason to think he won’t.
Has only ever won at Grade 2 level but he is clearly capable of better.
His form has been well advertised this year with the likes of Good Risk At All, Island Run and Elle Est Belle all boosting the form in subsequent outings.
A player with Aidan Coleman likely to be on board.
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MIGHTY POTTER – GORDON ELLIOTT
Mighty Potter lived up to his name on his hurdling debut at Down Royal when coasting in by 29 lengths for Gordon Elliott and Jack Kennedy.
He went to Fairyhouse next time and still ran well to finish third behind Statuaire in the Grade 1 Royal Bond.
He returned to the winners’ enclosure at the Dublin Racing Festival when beating Three Stripe Life and Farout in the Grade 1 Champion Novices’ Hurdle.
That was a really decent effort and given the uncertainty over which Mullins horse runs here, he has to come into the reckoning.
Gordon Elliott has won this prize before and his current odds are great each way value.
KILCRUIT – WILLIE MULLINS
Blue Lord was no match for Appreciate It in the Chanelle Pharma Novice Hurdle and perhaps the return to two miles wasn’t to his liking.
He looks as though he is crying out for middle distances and the Ballymore Novices’ would be a more obvious target.
Unless he was wildly running below par in the last race, this looks as though it will happen all too soon for him and Appreciate It would be the stable number one.
This race looks as though it will cut up quite badly, but it would need to in order to see him make the first three.
SILENT REVOLUTION – PAUL NICHOLLS
Silent Revolution will silence a very boisterous crowd if he manages to get home in front of any the others.
He has shown definite ability and won on his hurdling debut beating Broomfield Burg.
He has been off the track since and he is certainly being thrown in at the deep end here by Paul Nicholls and the team at Ditcheat.
His form is nothing spectacular and it would be best advised to look elsewhere.
Ticks The Right Boxes?
2022 Supreme Novices Hurdle Tips & Key Trends
DYSART DYNAMO has taken all that has been before him so far and despite having no previous racecourse experience here, his likely jockey, Paul Townend has plenty.
The pair teamed up at Punchestown back in January and they didn’t even have to move into second gear to win by 19 lengths.
In relation to Constitution Hill, the current form of Nicky Henderson’s team is something of a slight concern although none of the yards’ superstars have flopped.
Kilcruit looks slightly exposed now so Mighty Potter looks next best of the Irish. To win a Grade 1 at Leopardstown takes some doing and he has to pose a significant threat to the market leaders.
- 9 of the past 10 winners won last time out.
- 6 of the past 8 winners were rated 153+
- 5 of the past 9 winners won a Grade 1 last time out.
Odds With Paddy Power – correct at time of publication
- 9/4 Constitution Hill
- 9/4 Dysart Dynamo
- 9/2 Jonbon
- 13/2 Kilcruit
- 13/2 Mighty Potter
- 18/1 Bring On The Night
- 50/1 Shallwehaveonemore
- 80/1 Silent Revolution
- 100/1 Jpr One